2025 US Bond ETF Recommendation Guide: A Top Choice for Stable Investments

8/12/2025, 4:58:10 PM
In conjunction with the trends of the US Treasury bond market in 2025, this article recommends several short-term, medium-term, and long-term US Treasury bond ETFs, and provides simple allocation strategies and investment risk tips for beginners.

Overview of the US Treasury Market Trends in 2025

This year, the U.S. Treasury bond market has shown a diverging trend under the combined effects of interest rate cut expectations and inflation pressures. Short-term yields have gradually decreased, while long-term yields have fluctuated significantly due to fiscal policy and economic uncertainty. This provides investors with diversified allocation opportunities.

Recommended U.S. Treasury ETFs of Various Types

  • Short-term ETF: such as BIL and SHV, suitable for investors seeking stability and liquidity.
  • Intermediate ETFs: such as IEI, IEF, SCHR, which balance returns and risks, are the preferred choice for most beginners.
  • Long-term ETF: Such as TLT, it has significant capital gain potential when interest rates decline, but the price volatility is large.

Vanguard new products and low fee advantages

Vanguard’s newly launched ETFs such as VTG, VTP, and VGVT have fees as low as 0.03%–0.1%, making them suitable for long-term holding. Low costs help investors achieve greater net returns through long-term compounding.

Beginner Three-Step Configuration Method

  1. Determine risk preference: Conservative investors can allocate more to short/mid-term ETFs; aggressive investors can moderately add long-term ETFs.
  2. Focus on fees and liquidity: prioritize products with low fees and active trading.
  3. Dynamic adjustment: Flexibly adjust positions based on interest rate policies, economic data, and market trends.

Risk Warning and Summary

Although US Treasury ETFs have relatively low risks, they may still incur losses during rapid interest rate increases, unexpected inflation, or heightened exchange rate fluctuations. Long-term bonds tend to experience larger pullbacks during rate hike cycles, so beginners should avoid excessive concentration in their allocations and maintain a moderate level of diversification.

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