August 20, #机器人实战策略参考#

1. Market Analysis and Strategy Selection

The technical aspect of Bitcoin is currently still bearish. On the daily chart, the BTC price has fallen below the middle band of the Bollinger Bands and is running towards the lower band, which is slightly widening, indicating an increase in downward momentum. The daily MACD has formed a death cross and is widening, with the DIF line touching the zero axis, indicating a strengthening bearish trend.

On the 4-hour level, there was a volume reduction rebound after breaking below the lower Bollinger Band, but both the upper and lower Bollinger Bands are expanding downwards. The MACD has a death cross below the zero axis but is narrowing (no golden cross), indicating a possible short-term oversold rebound, but the rebound strength is limited.

BTC is likely to oscillate bearish in the range of $111,000–$114,500 in the short term. If it breaks below $111,000, it may quickly test $108,000 and $105,000; the upper rebound resistance levels are $114,500 and $117,500.

Looking at the current market-impacting events, the Federal Reserve's Jackson Hole meeting will be held from August 22 to 24. If Chairman Powell's speech releases hawkish signals (such as delaying interest rate cuts), it could suppress Bitcoin and lead the market to continue its decline.

Whale addresses (holding 1,000–10,000 BTC) continue to decrease, with significant selling pressure; although institutions like Metaplanet are buying on dips, it is difficult to resist selling pressure in the short term.

On the daily chart for ETH, it has fallen below the mid-band of the Bollinger Bands at $4,100, with key support at $4,000 (psychological level + EMA30). The daily MACD shows a death cross, and the RSI is oversold; there may be a short-term rebound but the momentum is insufficient.

In the short term, it will test the support at $4,000; if it breaks below, it will accelerate to $3,900 or even $3,750. A rebound requires reclaiming $4,250 to temporarily halt the downtrend.

The current robot strategy that complies is a combination strategy: BTC/USDT spot Martingale + ETH/USDT contract grid short.

2. Recommended Practical Strategies

Strategy Recommendation 1: Continuing to weaken but with clear support levels, you can position BTC/USDT spot Martingale.
How much to increase the position when it drops: 1.5%;
Maximum number of additional positions: 6;
Take profit ratio for each round: 2%;

Strategy recommendation 2: Weak rebound may continue to weaken, consider laying out a short position with ETHUSDT contract grid.

Price range: $3905 - $4350;
Leverage: 5x;
Number of grids: 40
Estimated strategy operation time: August 20 - August 25;

Warm reminder: The above content is for reference only and does not constitute investment advice. You can consult more information to make reasonable investment decisions.

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