Cardano Price Prediction: ADA big pump 75% imminent?

Blockchain technical analyst Ali Martinez recently shared a key insight on social platform X: the correction phase of Cardano (ADA) may soon come to an end, with its price movement remarkably similar to the historical cycle of 2019. He pointed out that ADA is currently consolidating within a parallel channel, which resembles the signals before the end of the bear market in 2019. What’s even more noteworthy is the subsequent projection — once the channel is broken, ADA previously achieved a 75% short-term big pump, followed by a 56% price pullback, leading to an epic bull run of up to 4095%.

As of July 10, 2025, the trading price of ADA is hovering around $0.6182. Although the monthly rise is only 5%, the technical aspect is quietly building momentum. Technical indicators such as MACD and momentum oscillators have issued clear buy signals, and the key resistance level of $0.87 is seen as a gateway to open up upward space—if it can be effectively broken, ADA may challenge the $3.00 mark in the short term.

##Technical Analysis Dawn: Dual Resonance of Indicators and Cycles

The current price movement of Cardano is not an isolated technical rebound; it is underpinned by multiple layers of market logic:

• TD Sequential buy signal appears: Martinez emphasizes that this indicator, which accurately predicted the historical top of ADA, has recently issued a bullish signal again, suggesting a potential rebound within 1-4 daily candles, marking the end of a months-long correction phase.
• Historical Reproducibility of Channel Breakouts: In 2019, ADA built up strength within a parallel channel, resulting in a 75% rise and ultimately achieving a 4000% bull run. The current form's "replication" has traders betting on the imminent start of a new cycle.
• Key resistance level tug-of-war: ADA has faced three rejections at the 0.66 USD support zone, but if it breaks through 0.87 USD (Coincodex short-term target), it will open up the imagination space towards 3 USD.

On-chain data further corroborates the trend shift: the number of non-zero addresses for ADA has increased by 239.93% over the years, reaching 2.0394 million, while the daily active addresses have surged past 110,000, up 631.73% compared to last year's average. The expansion of the user base resonates with the price buildup, laying the foundation for a breakthrough.

##Fundamental Leap: Technical Upgrades and Ecological Evolution

The optimistic expectations from a technical perspective are rooted in Cardano's recent milestone progress:

• The Voltaire governance era officially begins: In September 2024, the Chang hard fork will be successfully implemented, marking Cardano's entry into a fully decentralized governance phase. Token holders can now directly participate in ecological decision-making through the CIP-1694 proposal mechanism, which founder Charles Hoskinson calls "the greatest moment since Cardano's inception."
• Cross-chain integration releases trillions in liquidity: In October 2024, Cardano announced the integration of the Bitcoin Rollup protocol BitcoinOS, transforming into a Bitcoin Layer 2. Through the trustless Grail Bridge, Bitcoin holders can seamlessly enter the Cardano ecosystem to participate in DeFi applications – this move is expected to leverage $1.9 trillion in BTC liquidity.
• Staking economy solidifies value foundation: Cardano leads the industry with a staking rate of nearly 70%, with a total staking amount exceeding 67 billion USD and the number of participating addresses surpassing 756,500. The high staking rate not only enhances network security but also locks in circulating chips with an annual yield of approximately 5.25%, suppressing selling pressure.

##Market expectations diverge: from conservative rebound to an epic bull run

For the future trajectory of ADA, analysts' opinions are presented in a spectrum distribution:

• 2025: The key window for breaking through previous highs. Conservative predictions suggest that ADA may reach $0.85 - $0.97 in 2025 (average price of $0.88). However, the bullish camp cites the effect of the Bitcoin halving cycle, pointing out that if market sentiment is exuberant and Cardano's technical upgrades materialize, ADA is expected to challenge the historical high of $3.00, even entering a price discovery mode.
• 2030: Value reassessment of a mature ecosystem. Long-term forecasts show significant divergence: the pessimistic model extrapolates current trends, suggesting that ADA may hover around $1; the neutral forecast focuses on Cardano's gradual growth, seeing a range of $3.50 - $4.00; while fervent supporters assert that if it becomes a national-level Blockchain or a mainstream DeFi platform, ADA could surge to $5 - $10.

Institutions predict that the platform Cryptopolitan's model is more aggressive: it estimates that ADA will reach 3.11 dollars in 2028 and climb to 9.86 dollars in 2031.

##Risks and Opportunities Coexist: Investors at a Crossroads of Decision Making

Although the technical and fundamental aspects resonate bullishly, rational investors still need to examine potential risks:

• The fiercely competitive public blockchain battlefield: Cardano needs to prove its differentiated value amidst strong rivals like Ethereum, Solana, and Avalanche. Although its academic rigor enhances credibility, the scale of its developer ecosystem still needs to break through.
• A deep pullback in 2026 or now: If 2025 replicates the big pump trend, historical patterns suggest that 2026 may see a 50% level retracement (referencing the Bear Markets of 2018 and 2022). Key support levels are the psychological barrier of 1.00 USD and the historical accumulation area at 0.50 USD.
• Regulatory and macroeconomic variables: There is uncertainty in U.S. cryptocurrency policy. Although Cardano's development company Input Output has established a policy office in Washington, and founder Hoskinson is rumored to possibly serve as a government advisor, strict legislation may still suppress the rise.

The market is always seeking new rhythms in the historical cadence. The 75% leap expectation of ADA is like a timeline connecting 2019 and 2025. The buying signals flashing from technical indicators, the community energy released by Voltaire governance, and the trillion-level liquidity entry brought by the integration of BitcoinOS are collectively weaving a new narrative of value for Cardano.

As the TD Sequential indicator lights up green again, the movement of ADA may be as Ali Martinez said: "History doesn't repeat itself, but it often rhymes." For astute investors, the current level may be the last whisper before the storm.

The crypto world has no "sure-win" bets, but if it breaks through the resistance level of $0.87, please fasten your seatbelt — the next stop on this journey may be the stars.

Author: Blog Team *This content does not constitute any offer, solicitation, or recommendation. You should always seek independent professional advice before making any investment decisions. *Please note that Gate may restrict or prohibit all or part of the services from restricted areas. Please read the user agreement for more information, link: